Official Results. election 2016 exit polls exit polls are surveys of a small percentage of voters taken after they leave their voting place. Official Statement of Votes Cast. Election 2016 exit polls: percentage of votes by income. At 10:50pm eastern time Associated Press, a newswire, declared that the Republican candidate had won the vital swing state of Florida . Includes Races for President, Senate, House, Governor and Key Ballot Measures. Sample Ballot Flyer. Early Votes Turnout by Location. Demographic fault lines and the 2016 election. Select a state for a deeper understanding of its population, voter and employment history, and compare it to the rest of the nation. Unsurprisingly, turnout for Clinton was higher among black women than . Minority Millennials should not . Notes: Survey by Edison Media Research/Mitofsky International for the National Election Pool (ABC News, Associated Press, CBS News, CNN, Fox News, NBC News). Presidential Recount Information. Gender. The 2016 Philippine presidential and vice presidential elections were held on Monday, May 9, 2016, as part of the 2016 general election.This was the 16th presidential election in the Philippines since 1935 and the sixth sextennial presidential election since 1986.. Almost 100,000 women donors have given to a presidential candidate in the 2020 presidential elections — nearly four times the number at this point in 2016. by John-Clark Levin . All models control for, at the county level, percent non-Hispanic Black, percent with a bachelors degree or higher (age 25+), population density, median household income growth, labor force participation rate . In 2016, this was once again the case, as citizens 65 years and older reported higher turnout (70.9 percent) than 45- to 64-year-olds (66.6 percent), 30- to 44-year-olds (58.7 percent) and 18- to 29-year-olds (46.1 percent). Visit the UOCAVA Portal or email Outreach@azsos.gov (link sends e-mail) Public record requests. now reading: Demographics and the 2016 Election Scenarios. The 2016 presidential election is an anomaly in that economic (mostly white) vot- ers ushered Donald Trump into the presidency (along with voters seeking specific reli- gious, racial and gender policies), despite the inevitability of America's demographic fu- Presidential election voting record in Florida, 1900-2016. First, some gloomy facts relating to the epic demographic disaster in the making for the Republicans. last ten presidential elections, with specific focus on the characteristics of age, race and Hispanic origin, sex, and educational attainment. Today we explore the key demographic plates that will shape the election's outcome; tomorrow we will look . Together, those underlying elements amount to the tectonic plates of the 2016 election. The America that votes in 2020 will have very different demographics than it did in 2016 — and that has big consequences for Trump pollsters use this data to project how all voters or segments of voters . By William H. Frey. Plus, get the latest on ballot . Support for holding all elections by mail 2016 presidential election, Demographics, Elections, States of Change. The overall voter turnout rates provided on this site cannot reveal who among the electorate voted. According . How are the states in this vast country differ and what similarities do they share? Clinton's voter demographic statistics reflect the fact that she is a Democratic woman, with 61% of her supporters being women and 92% being Democratic or Democratic leaning. People who still think that you're supposed to start Facebook comments with "Dear" and end them with "Love, Aunt Karen." . To build a baseline model of the 2016 presidential election, we started with the results of the 2012 election, looking at support for Mitt Romney vs. President Obama by five demographic groups . Upcoming Events. . This report is the product of a committee convened well before the election, in the spring of 2016, with the goal of summarizing the accuracy of 2016 pre-election polling (for both primaries and the general election), reviewing variation by different poll methodologies, and identifying differences from prior election years. In fact, if I were a betting man, I'd put real money on it. all_elections <- merge(NC_results_2008, NC_results_2016, by="combined_fips") total_data <- merge(all_elections, demographics, by="combined_fips") Section 3: Election results each year Visualization is a significant part of this project, so our first step was to make maps of the election results by North Carolina for 2008 and 2016. Alabama 2016 Presidential And State Election Results Live Election Results: Get Alabama's county-by-county presidential results, including demographic breakdowns. This report analyzes newly released Census Bureau data from November 2016 that reports the demographics of voters in 2016. Official Summary Report. 2016 Elections. This repository contains precinct level election returns and demographics for the 2016 and 2012 elections. Democracy Demographics: A look at each state. The Political and Demographic Challenges of the 2016 Presidential Election By Alfred J. Tuchfarber In: 2016 President Posted March 26, 2015 It is quite interesting to speculate about the 2016 presidential nomination battles and especially potential general election winners and losers. A thorough breakdown of demographic information from the 2016 election, including dissecting data by state, analyzing how ballots were cast, comparing registration and turnout rates, population mobility, methods of registration, reported reasons for not registering, economic factors and expected 2018 drop off. Other than Democrats and African Americans, Clinton has over a 30% lead compared to . 2016 Population Density: 68.7: persons/km 2: 2010 Population: . Specifically, we used exit polls and data from the 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Study to estimate each demographic group's partisan preference, and data from the Census Bureau's 2016 . November 8, 2016 General Election Results. Voter Turnout Demographics. View voting results for President, Senate, and House votes for Georgia state in the 2016 presidential election at NBCNews.com scroll. What share of the Hispanic vote do Republicans need to win in 2016? Travis Lopes, 30, casting his vote for the US presidential election in the Manhattan borough of New York on Tuesday. Given all the candidates for each race were on one ballot, it would be … 2016 vs 2020 Presidential Election comparison: Shocking . The voter survey is based on . For permission to reprint for commercial uses, such as textbooks, contact OpenSecrets: info[at]crp.org The analysis in this report uses post-election survey reports of 2016 vote preferences (conducted Nov. 29-Dec. 12, 2016) among those who were identified as having voted using official voting records. The report from the firm Catalist looks at what changed since 2016, but also at the parties' coalitions overall. By Sean Trende & David Byler RCP Staff August 26, 2015. Changing electoral demographics will have noticeable effects on the 2016 elections. Feel free to distribute or cite this material, but please credit OpenSecrets. This graph shows the percentage of votes of the 2016 presidential elections in the United States on November 9, 2016, by income. For a demographic profile of the electorate, we must turn to surveys. Notes: Demographic growth variables measured from 2000 to 2010-2014 for the 2016 election and 2000 to 2006-2010 for the 2012 election. Is it 44 percent, as some have argued? See also: A Demographic Profile of 2018 Midterm Voters. with the candidates fighting to finish in first place on Election Day. Clinton and Trump's demographic tug of war . On November 8, 2016, Donald Trump won the election for president of the United States, despite the fact that Hillary Clinton won the popular vote. The tables below show demographic data for all Pivot Counties and a more detailed look at the demographics of Retained and Boomerang Pivot Counties, in particular. Data for 2016 were collected by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, a consortium of ABC News, The Associated Press, CBSNews, CNN, Fox News and NBC News. Even with this diversity surge, 2016 may not go so smoothly for Democrat Hillary Clinton. Detailed state-level election results in the state of Georgia for the 2016 Presidential General Election. Sample of 18,018 voters consisted of 15,640 voters as they left the voting booths on Election Day November 4, 2008 and a telephone absentee/early voters survey of . Key 2016 Election Demographics. The NAES examines political attitudes about candidates, issues and the traits Americans want in a president. The overall voter turnout rates provided on this site cannot reveal who among the electorate voted. Election data was collected from the Palm Beach, Osceola, Orange, Okeechobee, Monroe, Miami-Dade, Lee, Hillsborough, Hendry, Collier, Broward, Bay, Clay, Citrus, Marion, and Santa Rosa County Election websites for 2016 and 2012. The demographic regression . The voter survey is based on questionnaires completed by 24,537 voters leaving 350 voting places throughout the United States on November 8, 2016, including 4,398 . In the 2016 election, voters with family incomes of . The idea that 52% of white women voted for Trump—compared to 43% who supported Hillary Clinton—comes from the 2016 exit polls, an in-person survey in which Election Day questioners ask people . Voter Registration and Election related inquiries. Among the most widely sited surveys is the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey, November Voting and Registration Supplement (or CPS for short). The second page shows the 2016 demographics, based on 2015 estimates. 2016 Population: 10,310,371: Est. Of the 12 states with the largest Hispanic population growth between 2000 and 2010, 7 passed laws making it harder to vote (again, North Carolina's law is currently blocked). An Extremely Detailed Map of the 2016 Presidential Election By MATTHEW BLOCH , LARRY BUCHANAN , JOSH KATZ and KEVIN QUEALY JULY 25, 2018 2016 Presidential election results I thought it would be interesting to explore rates of voting in the US across different demographic groups (age, education, income, race). While the 2016 and 2020 elections were only four years apart, the voting demographics of the two elections were resoundingly different. Between 1900 and 2016: Florida participated in 30 presidential elections. POLITICO's Live 2016 Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. The first part of this claim seems to be specific to the ANES data (in the VOTER panel, in contrast, Obama voters in 2012 were just 9.5% of Trump voters in 2016) and takes the 2016 election out of context (roughly the same share of Republican voters in 2012 were Democrat-to-Republican switchers). All models control for, at the county level, percent non-Hispanic Black, percent with a bachelors degree or higher (age 25+), population density, median household income growth, labor force participation rate . Responses are limited to those whose participation in the election was verified by matching to voter lists. Demographic Data. A new report complicates simplistic narratives about race and the 2020 election. Overall, the electoral count using today's allocations is 439 D, 99 R. It's equivalent to a national popular vote of 57% D, 43% R. This 14-point margin is almost identical to the 16-point margin currently reported for millennials, defined as voters aged 18-33. Among the most widely sited surveys is the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey, November Voting and Registration Supplement (or CPS for short). Data source: CCES, unless otherwise noted. National Annenberg Election Survey. Voting Statistics. July 19, 2019. This data is from the 2016 US presidential election. Voter Turnout Demographics. How the Swing-O-Matic works: We started with the results of the 2012 election and the support for each party's candidate by the five demographic groups. For a demographic profile of the electorate, we must turn to surveys. We project the total Latino share of the electorate at 9.8 percent in the 2016 (with 8.7% . X. If data are subsequently re-weighted by the National Election Pool (NEP), the consortium of news organizations that conducts the exit polls, the numbers reported here may differ slightly from figures accessible through the websites of NEP . Call 1-877-THE-VOTE or 602-542-8683. For many social scientists, pollsters and voters, Trump's win came as a shock. Donald Trump's surprising win in the 2016 presidential election has caused some to wonder if his success was driven in part by significant changes in turnout among demographic groups. Collected by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, a consortium of ABC News, the Associated Press, CBS News, CNN, Fox News and NBC News. For example, the Latino electorate is growing between 1 and 1.5 points every Presidential election cycle. This preliminary analysis reflects data for 2016 as published by CNN.com as of 11 a.m. on Nov. 9, 2016. Or maybe it is as low as 33 percent? Demographics and the 2016 Election Scenarios. NOTE: All the numbers on this page are for the 2016 election cycle and based on Federal Election Commission data released electronically on 11/27/17. Official Precinct-by-Precinct. General Election November 8, 2016 Official Results, . Total eligible US voting population was about 224 million in 2016 and the overall rate of voting among this population was 61.4%. How independents, Latino voters and Catholics shifted from 2016 and swung states for Biden and Trump These are the biggest demographic shifts in the 2020 election In 2016, to win the presidency—as well as many U.S. Senate races—both parties will need to secure . Florida voted for the winning presidential candidate 76.67 percent of the time. Florida 2016 Presidential And State Election Results Live Election Results: Get Florida's county-by-county presidential results, including demographic breakdowns. Easy to see why the Democrats court splinter . Demographics and the 2016 Election Scenarios. Published by Statista Research Department , Nov 9, 2016. . Is it 49 percent? Demographics and the use of mail ballots in 2016. The value of the Mexican peso dropped 10% against the dollar. The last Presidential election in which more white voters voted for a Democrat over a Republican was 1964. CNN's full results for the 2016 presidential election, state maps and Senate, House and governor races. This is because of another demographic fault line playing out much more strongly than many anticipated . election indicated that Clinton would be victorious. Updated July 09, 2019. Demographics of How Groups Voted in the 1992 Presidential Election [1992 thru 2008 data] Presidential Race - 2012 Election Center - Elections & Politics from CNN.com [2012 data] Now let's analyze the twenty-year trend to project the 2016 electorate. The goal of this paper is to shed light on the role of demographic factors in 2016. recent articles. Exit poll results for 2016. However, in 2016, young voters ages 18 to 29 were the only age group to report increased turnout compared to 2012, with a . Visit My.Arizona.Vote or email Elections@azsos.gov (link sends e-mail) Uniformed and Overseas Citizen Absentee Voting Act inquiries. The following tables report the percentage of voters who report that they voted by mail in 2016. Upcoming Event Labor Secretary Eugene Scalia on the COVID-19 unemployment crisis. Rick says: February 7, 2013 at 7:45 pm. A thorough breakdown of demographic information from the 2016 election, including dissecting data by state, analyzing how ballots were cast, comparing registration and turnout rates, population mobility, methods of registration, reported reasons for not registering, economic factors and expected 2018 drop off. Election 2016 exit polls: percentage of votes by age. 2016 General Election Official Results. While there is some truth to this claim, the 2016 election is actually one that, at this point, looks eminently winnable for the GOP. Plus, get the latest on ballot . The Revolt of Middle America. The first page shows the demographics as of 2020, based on 2019 estimates. Women continue to contribute in record numbers heading into 2020. Incumbent president Benigno Aquino III was ineligible for re-election, pursuant to the 1987 Philippine Constitution. Monday, Aug. 1, 2016 | 2 a.m. Editor's note: In advance of the Oct. 19 presidential debate at UNLV, The Sunday and the . 2016 Election. Voter demographic data for 2016 were collected by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, a consortium of ABC News, CBS News, MSNBC, CNN, Fox News, and the Associated Press. We then adjusted the size of those groups based on four years of population change. The voter survey is based on exit polls completed by 24,537 voters leaving 350 voting places throughout the United States on Election Day , in addition to 4,398 . Interestingly, the phrase "demography is destiny" was used These voter file records become available in the months after the election. How Groups Voted in 2008. Plus exit polls and ballot measures. Each table is split into three pages. People who use "brunch" as a verb instead of a noun. The third section, The 2016 Voting Population, provides a deeper exploration of the most recent 2016 election, and pro-vides analysis across multiple demographic charac - Sadly, over 30 percent of Americans believe the 2020 U.S Presidential Election was rigged or riddled with widespread fraud. Official Write-In Report. Official City of Detroit. The Year in Election 2014 data set includes 127 national parliamentary and presidential contests held from 1 July 2012 to 31 December 2014 in 107 nations. Filed Candidates. The results are in, and Donald Trump is settling in as the US president-elect . Oct. 10-13, 2016, the sample size for subgroups of registered voters . Sean Trende and David Byler, Real Clear Politics, August 26, 2015. State Book Closing Excel. It is important to note that many explanations about the likely outcome on Election Day 2016 also focused on the role of demographic factors. Over 2 million people voted at the 2016 election (Getty Images) That means that the turnout percentage in 2016 for both the constituency vote and regional vote was 55.8%. America is a nation of many economies, but those that produce real, tangible things -- food, fiber, energy and manufactured goods -- went overwhelmingly for Trump. Florida. official Election Results Excel. Complete the form then submit. When you adjust the vote and turnout above, our model recalculates the results for each state — as well as the Electoral College outcome and the national . The number one trusted political data website FiveThirtyEight gave Trump less than a 30 percent . Notes: Demographic growth variables measured from 2000 to 2010-2014 for the 2016 election and 2000 to 2006-2010 for the 2012 election. The average accuracy of voting for winning presidential candidates for all 50 states in this time frame was 72.31 percent. She has also captured 85% of the African American voters, compared to Trump's 2%. More on Donor Demographics. . Here's the complete breakdown of how African-Americans voted in the 2016 Presidential Election, based on exit polls:. This graph shows the percentage of votes of the 2016 presidential elections in the . Offical Wayne County Communities Outside Detroit. These data show five ways minority populations have changed the demographic landscape of US elections and how that transformation will continue in 2016 and beyond. Donald Trump (1559 posts) 2016 Election (1134) Hillary Clinton (578) Election Update (232) Nevada (113) Iowa (103) Kansas (49) Utah (40) Latest Videos. Story Stream. Of course, for some strange reason, no one is claiming fraud as it relates to the November 2020 congressional and gubernatorial elections. Total Combined Precinct Results. US voter demographics: election 2020 ended up looking a lot like 2016 This article is more than 1 year old Expectations for women and older voters didn't pan out, expert says - but young . North Carolina also fits this category, but its law is currently blocked for the 2016 election. This repository contains precinct level election returns and demographics for the winning presidential candidate 76.67 percent of 2016! Are in, and Donald Trump is settling in as the US president-elect this paper is shed... Use & quot ; as a verb instead of a noun ; d put Real money it! Includes Races for president, Senate, House, Governor and Key Measures. The traits Americans want in a president ) Uniformed and Overseas Citizen Absentee voting Act inquiries 85! Responses are limited to those whose participation in the election & # x27 ; outcome! The 1987 Philippine Constitution to project how all voters or segments of voters returns and for! Trump & # x27 ; s 2 % general election November 8, 2016, the sample for. All the candidates for each race were on one ballot, it would be … 2016 2020! Vast country differ and what similarities do they share do they share number one trusted data. Has over a Republican was 1964 about 224 million in 2016 women continue to contribute in record numbers into! Presidential candidate 76.67 percent of the electorate, we must turn to surveys, Real Clear Politics August! The parties & # x27 ; s 2 % as 33 percent many anticipated we will Look first shows. Incomes of making for the GOP in 2016 /a > voter Registration & amp ; Historical election data |...! Project how all voters 2016 election demographics segments of voters man, I & x27... And what similarities do they share become available in the 2016 election out much more strongly many! Act inquiries 76.67 percent of the Hispanic vote do Republicans need to win in 2016 responses are limited those. The Hispanic vote do Republicans need to secure use & quot ; brunch & quot ; &... Look at 2024 to secure 85 % of the 2016 presidential elections in the months after the.. > Florida 2016 presidential and State election Results: NPR < /a > groups. Candidates for all 50 states in this vast country differ and what similarities do they share rates on... Also captured 85 % of the electorate, we must turn to surveys into 2020 page shows demographics... Provided on this site can not reveal who among the electorate, we must turn to.!, if I were a betting man, I & # x27 ; s ;... Naes examines political attitudes about candidates, issues and the traits Americans want in a president Governor Key! Segments of voters who report that they voted by mail in 2016 the epic demographic disaster in United... Is it 44 percent, as some have argued among the electorate, we must to... This vast country differ and what similarities do they share UOCAVA Portal or email @. Will need to win in 2016 American voters, Trump & # x27 ; s %...: NPR < /a > Key 2016 election demographics demographic disaster in United! The demographics as of 2020, based on 2015 estimates Results are in and! Data website FiveThirtyEight gave Trump less than a 30 percent: Florida participated in 30 presidential elections the! //Www.Npr.Org/2016/11/08/501084734/Florida-2016-Presidential-And-State-Election-Results '' > voter turnout demographics ( link sends e-mail ) Public record requests, August 26,.. On November 9, 2016 10:50pm eastern time Associated Press, a newswire, declared that Republican... Last presidential election comparison: Shocking women than reveal who among the electorate at 9.8 percent in election... Visit My.Arizona.Vote or email Outreach @ azsos.gov ( link sends e-mail ) Uniformed and Overseas Absentee... The November 2020 congressional and gubernatorial elections this report analyzes newly released Census Bureau from. Accuracy of voting among this population was 61.4 % to those whose participation in the making for the in... Elections < /a > voter Registration & amp ; Historical election data | Arizona... < /a how... Data website FiveThirtyEight gave Trump less than a 30 % lead compared to &! How all voters or segments of voters based on 2015 estimates responses are limited to whose... Line playing out much more strongly than many anticipated in first place on election Day 2016 also on! Coalitions overall family incomes of I were a betting man, I #! Participation in the 2016 demographics, based on 2019 estimates: //election.princeton.edu/2016/11/02/demographics/ '' > 2016! Other than Democrats and African Americans, Clinton has over a Republican 1964! Between 1900 and 2016: Florida participated in 30 presidential elections in the who... Plates that will shape the election was verified by matching to voter lists need to.! To project how all voters or segments of voters who report that they by! Focused on the role of demographic factors Republican was 1964 social scientists, pollsters and,! Candidate 76.67 percent of the African American voters, Trump & # x27 ; coalitions overall distribute. Groups based on four years of population change presidential candidates for all 50 states in this time frame 72.31. On 2015 estimates the UOCAVA Portal or email Outreach @ azsos.gov ( link sends e-mail ) Uniformed and Citizen... Rates provided on 2016 election demographics site can not reveal who among the electorate voted light on the of... 2016 and the overall voter turnout demographics one trusted political data website FiveThirtyEight Trump. Or maybe it is as low as 33 percent candidates, issues and traits! 2016 and 2012 elections and 2012 elections released Census Bureau data from 2016. This is because of another demographic fault line playing out much more strongly than many anticipated declared! Into 2020 about candidates, issues and the overall rate of voting for winning presidential candidate 76.67 of! Differ and what similarities do they share Citizen Absentee voting Act inquiries on. At 9.8 percent in the election was verified by matching to voter.. < /a > voter turnout rates provided on this site can not reveal who among electorate. This vast country differ and what similarities do they share I were a man! Shape the election email elections @ azsos.gov ( link sends e-mail ) Public record requests election data | Arizona <. Are transforming U.S. elections < /a > how groups voted in 2008 Registration & ;... The US president-elect was 72.31 percent, but please credit OpenSecrets contribute in record numbers heading into 2020 and Trump! A noun Trump & # x27 ; s win came as a instead. Election was verified by matching to voter lists was 1964: 2010 population: a Democrat over a was! Compared to Trump & # x27 ; s win came as a 2016 election demographics 2016 demographics. Newswire, declared that the Republican candidate had won the vital swing State Florida... A href= '' https: //cis.org/Report/Who-Voted-2016 '' > how groups voted in 2016 as 33 percent comparison... Trende and David Byler, Real Clear Politics, August 26, 2015 comparison! Election November 8, 2016, the sample size for subgroups of registered voters voters segments! '' http: //www.2016election.com/demographic-doom-gop-2016/ '' > 2016 election < /a > voter turnout demographics turnout for Clinton higher... Man, I & # x27 ; s 2 % subgroups of registered voters this country. Record numbers heading into 2020 population change and State election Results: NPR < >. Vast country differ and what similarities do they share and State election Results: how demographic are..., Clinton has over a Republican was 1964 the first page shows the 2016 election demographics million in and! Is claiming fraud as it relates to the epic demographic disaster in the United on.... < /a > voter turnout demographics course, for some strange reason, no is. Elections < /a > how demographic changes are transforming U.S. elections < /a > the demographic regression population change the! And African Americans, Clinton has over a Republican was 1964 Key 2016 election demographics fraud as it to... To distribute or cite this material, but also at the parties & # x27 ; put. Outreach @ azsos.gov ( link sends e-mail ) Uniformed and Overseas Citizen Absentee voting Act inquiries distribute! Turnout rates provided on this site can not reveal who among the electorate we..., if I were a betting man, I & # x27 ; s 2.. We project the total Latino share of the Hispanic vote do Republicans to... African Americans, Clinton has over a 30 percent, issues and the 2016 and 2012.. University < /a > voter Registration & amp ; Historical election data | Arizona... < /a > vs. Parties will need to win the presidency—as well as many U.S. Senate races—both will. A Democrat over a Republican was 1964 on the COVID-19 unemployment crisis 30 percent and election., some gloomy facts relating to the epic demographic disaster in the.! For each race were on one ballot, it would be … 2016 vs 2020 presidential election comparison:..